Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said Tuesday that security forces spotted suspicious movements near the Kaliningrad border overnight, including people carrying flashlights close to the frontier. He said Poland's quick reaction may have averted a provocation, though he acknowledged that this cannot be proven, CBS News reported.
The statement adds detail to a security operation that began Monday along Poland's border with the Russian exclave. Police chief Marek Boroń said it would run until at least Nov. 8.
Tusk said Polish forces noticed unusual activity near the Kaliningrad border, including individuals with flashlights near the border area. He did not specify what kind of provocation might have been intended, according to CBS News.
He said security forces and equipment were mobilized quickly on site and that any attempted provocation was thwarted, "if that was the intention." He added a caveat: "Of course, we will never be able to completely confirm that."
Not so far. By Tuesday afternoon, Polish authorities had not published evidence of specific plans for sabotage or an attack originating from Kaliningrad, CBS News reported. Tusk said intelligence had pointed for weeks to possible acts of diversion or a more serious provocation against the European Union, including the intrusion of armed individuals into Polish territory.
Polish and allied intelligence agencies had warned of possible sabotage and provocations in the first half of November, particularly along the Kaliningrad border. That put domestic security agencies on high alert even before extra forces arrived.
Additional police and counterterrorism units, along with troops from the elite GROM special forces unit, have been sent to the northeastern regions of Warmia-Masuria and Podlaskie. A special command center at national police headquarters coordinates the effort.
Police said Tuesday that the goals are to protect the public, detect suspicious activity early and prevent attacks on critical infrastructure.
The border area is strategically sensitive. Kaliningrad is bordered only by NATO members Poland and Lithuania and by the Baltic Sea. Just to its east lies the Suwałki Corridor, the only land link between the Baltic NATO states and the rest of the alliance. CBS News noted it is widely believed that Russian security agencies, including the FSB and GRU, operate in the exclave.
For residents and travelers in Poland's northeast, the immediate effect is a heavier security presence in the region for at least the coming days. More broadly, the alert follows months of sabotage, air incursions and other low-level incidents across Europe that have been blamed largely on Russia.
CBS News listed several incidents this year: a fire in August at a Polish factory that makes drones and other military components, and a September arson attack on a Starlink satellite ground station that Polish officials blamed directly on Russia. Russian drones have also repeatedly entered NATO airspace in Eastern Europe. This week, the Royal Navy said it intercepted a Russian spy ship off northern Scotland that was monitoring a NATO exercise near the Outer Hebrides.
At a news conference with Lithuania's prime minister on Oct. 13, Tusk said a conversation with NATO Supreme Allied Commander Alexus Grynkewich had reinforced his concerns about sabotage, including possible provocations involving aircraft or attacks on border crossings.
Around the same time, MI5 chief Sir Ken McCallum said "Russia remains aggressor number one" among state threats. He said Moscow was escalating hybrid warfare while taking care to stay below the threshold that would trigger NATO's Article 5 collective defense principle.
The operation is scheduled to continue until at least Nov. 8, according to the police chief. Intelligence warnings had covered the first half of November, so the heightened alert may extend beyond the operation's announced minimum.
Earlier on Around Prague: Poland Sends Counterterrorism Units to Kaliningrad Border as Alert Continues
Around Prague, based on reporting by CBS News