Poll: STAN Leads in Prague Ahead of Elections, But ANO Voters Are the Most Loyal

The STAN movement leads the poll of voter potential ahead of Prague's municipal elections, set for October 9–10. According to a survey by the NMS agency, 46.2% of voters say they are currently willing to vote for the Mayors and Independents (STAN), while 36.8% would back the Spolu coalition (ODS and TOP 09). Next come ANO and the Pirates, tied at 27.1%, closely followed by the Prague Sobě coalition (together with the Greens and the Christian Democrats) at 26.3%. Rounding out the list are the SPD (13.6%), the Motorists (12%) and SEN pro Prague (9.9%).

Since this measures voter potential rather than a forecast of the actual result, the percentages add up to more than 100 — respondents could name several parties they might vote for. Compared to the June survey, Prague Sobě and STAN gained noticeably, Spolu slipped, while ANO edged up slightly.

"STAN is currently doing better than anyone else in Prague, strengthening its lead. But the Prague Sobě coalition is also showing notable momentum — its support has grown more than any other party's since June," said NMS political analyst Tereza Fridrichová.

ANO Has the Most Loyal Core

The poll found that ANO has the most devoted voters, and the SPD also has a stable core of supporters. STAN, the Pirates, Prague Sobě and, to some extent, Spolu, however, largely share overlapping electorates, meaning these parties are likely to compete fiercely for each other's votes.

According to political scientist Jan Kubáček, who specializes in political marketing, it is precisely disloyal voters who pose the biggest threat to STAN's position. "It's the most popular 'second choice' party. There are plenty of voters they could poach, but their own electorate is extremely unstable. Other parties will go shopping for STAN's voters as if in a supermarket," he said.

Kubáček predicts the campaign will turn confrontational and "dirty": rivals are likely to revive the Dozimetr case, which remains a sensitive topic and a reputational risk for STAN. A clash is also expected between the Pirates and Prague Sobě — the local movement led by Adam Scheinherr is closing in on the Pirates' popularity and will need to distinguish itself more sharply from its rival. As for the smaller parties — the Motorists, SPD and SEN pro Prague — their fate hinges on whether they can convince their supporters to actually show up at the polls in the campaign's final stretch.

So Far, Only Half Are Ready to Vote

According to the poll, 52% of Prague residents say they will definitely vote. Turnout, as usual, is higher among older generations: 62% of pensioners confirm they will vote, compared to just 38% of the youngest voters. Supporters of STAN, Spolu and the Prague Sobě coalition (with the Greens and Christian Democrats) are more confident about turning out.

Czechia's municipal elections will take place on October 9–10, 2026. In Prague, voters will choose among 24 parties and coalitions competing for seats on the city council.

Source: novinky.cz